Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 63.498778 71.786648 80.324619 89.746975 99.823757 110.249106 121.821881
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 50.599637 62.372706 75.112907 89.798603 106.138624 123.648967 143.720856
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 42.927779 56.554566 71.853184 90.042809 110.834588 133.634931 160.307690
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 37.445062 52.378580 69.695990 90.833250 115.534231 143.123530 175.913559
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 32.126315 47.735521 66.423240 89.809359 117.702102 149.376892 187.553265
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 28.898528 45.282591 65.444742 91.206864 122.448110 158.397008 202.202737
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 26.343047 43.402290 64.936976 92.973810 127.474956 167.631735 217.025845
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 23.001318 40.153714 62.438581 92.056151 129.080765 172.699213 226.878843
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 19.581221 36.460006 59.088533 89.824634 128.877097 175.452846 233.875345
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 18.609885 36.135587 60.106504 93.109260 135.459246 186.341917 250.539736
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 17.409170 35.355153 60.423731 95.422382 140.788092 195.700062 265.385305
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 15.251171 32.926648 58.323311 94.431142 141.843273 199.774638 273.830079
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 13.212828 30.507116 56.118567 93.228569 142.604135 203.509075 281.934490
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 11.776431 28.915093 54.991650 93.403755 145.091294 209.359628 292.620659
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 10.506768 27.463581 53.966840 93.636544 147.593206 215.190202 303.262647
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.506223 26.372095 53.401083 94.448803 150.818590 221.910595 314.999695
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.184241 24.533757 51.580932 93.399497 151.502624 225.370011 322.670558
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.520131 23.863889 51.524545 94.831231 155.487905 233.023861 335.568938
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.987860 23.392979 51.745791 96.641099 159.975367 241.325990 349.298043
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.994185 21.841601 50.132665 95.701186 160.674544 244.726836 356.865186
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.890954 19.862925 47.682504 93.415190 159.444220 245.570624 361.164503
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.777929 20.119021 48.997661 96.779828 166.039093 256.611088 378.396121
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.521518 20.002606 49.658158 99.148648 171.255189 265.868014 393.393213